Simulating Potential Population Growth of Wild Pig in Texas

This study developed a sex- and age-structured model to simulate Wild Pig (Sus scrofa) population dynamics in Texas, revealing a substantial mean annual growth rate of 0.32 and projecting potential population sizes between 3.6-16.9 million pigs after just five years. Using Bayesian belief network analysis, researchers identified reproductive parameters—specifically number of litters per female and piglet recruitment—as the most influential factors driving population growth, while adult and juvenile survival rates had minimal impact on population trajectories. These findings suggest that natural resource managers should prioritize strategies that reduce Wild Pig reproductive success rather than focusing on increasing adult mortality when implementing population control measures.

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